Friday, January 10, 2014

So how does Federer Statistically weight up in the first four rounds if the draw goes to plan?

 So the draw has been announced for next weeks Australian Open but how does Rodger Federer fair according to statistics. In his first round match he faces wild-card James Duckworth. Duckworth is currently worth 134 in the world and won two Futures titles in 2013. Duckworth have beaten higher ranked players than him such as Roberto Bautista Agut back in October however this should fingers cross be a easy win for Federer who hopefully won't fall to the same fate as Wimbledon 2013.

Round two could be a meet against Radek Stepanek. Stepanek has produced good form this season so far and took Juan Martin Del Potro to three sets this weeks at the Apia Open Quarter-finals. The two has met 15 times before with Federer taking a 13-2 lead. Federer has enjoyed straight sets wins over Stepanek in their last six meets. The Two Losses Federer has suffered was on clay in 2002 and 2008.

Providing things goes according to plans in the third round he could face Fernando Verdasco. Verdasco hasn't been that convincing recently with his last back to back win in the main draw of a tournament being in Stockholm back in October. Saying that he didn't go to 7 in the world out of luck and could potentially cause a headache if he is able to regain some of that form he use to have. Head to head Federer has a 5-0 lead and have only lost 1 out of 12 sets played to Verdasco (ATP world finals 2009).

Finally in the forth round he could faces the tricky Jo-wilfried Tsonga. Federer does have a 9-5 head to head lead over the Frenchman however 4 out of the last 7 meets has gone Tsonga's way (Canadian Open 2011, Wimbledon 2011, Doha 2012 was a walkover and the French Open 2013). Tsonga has also produced good form at the Hopman Cup beating John Isner and Radek Stepanek amongst others.

It is important to bear in mind that this isn't the definitive path Federer will take but a more than likely one. If he did take this path however it wouldn't necessary be a bad route considering the statistics.....

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